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Bahia 3:2 Sao Paulo Match Result, Prediction Accuracy & Closing Odds (29.10.2026)
Bahia vs Sao Paulo finished 3:2 (Brazil Serie A, 29.10.2026). Full post-match closing odds verification (1: 1.72, X: 3.23, 2: 3.38), pre-match AI prediction accuracy, and historical twin-odds archive.
Post-Match Result & Closing Odds Verification (Bahia 3:2 Sao Paulo)
The Bahia vs Sao Paulo fixture ended with a final score of 3:2 (Half-Time: 2:2).
- Winning 1X2 Outcome: Home Win (1) — Closing Odd: 1.72
- Over / Under 2.5 Result: Over 2.5 Goals Won (5 goals, odd: 1.58)
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Result: BTTS Yes Won (odd: 1.51)
- Pre-Match Model Pick: BTTS Yes (55% model confidence)
Bahia vs Sao Paulo Odds & Probability Distribution
- League / Kick-off: Brazil Serie A — 29.10.2026 03:30
- Team Hubs: Bahia · Sao Paulo
- 1X2 Match Odds: 1: 1.72 (49%) | X: 3.23 (26%) | 2: 3.38 (25%)
- Opening Odds: 1: 1.8 | X: 3.14 | 2: 3.22
- Over / Under 2.5 Odds: (-2.5): 1.8 | (+2.5): 1.58
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): (+): 1.51 | (-): 1.91
- Final Score: 3:2 (2:2)
- Statistical Model Pick: BTTS Yes (55%)
Bahia vs Sao Paulo Team Form & Goal Statistics
- Bahia Recent Form (15 matches): 5W-1D-9L (33% Win), Over 2.5: 67%, BTTS: 47%, Avg Goals Scored: 1.20, Conceded: 1.80 (L [3:1], W [4:0], W [1:0], W [2:1], W [1:2])
- Sao Paulo Recent Form (15 matches): 11W-2D-2L (73% Win), Over 2.5: 67%, BTTS: 53%, Avg Goals Scored: 2.27, Conceded: 0.87 (W [1:4], W [4:3], W [2:1], W [1:2], W [2:3])
Bahia vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head (H2H) History (10 Matches)
In 10 historical head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 2, 2 ended in a draw, and Sao Paulo won 6. Over 2.5 Goals occurred in 50% of meetings and BTTS in 40% (avg 2.30 goals/match).
| Date | League | Match | Score (HT) | 1X2 Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.11.2020 | Brazil Serie A | Bahia - Sao Paulo | 1:3 (0:0) | 2.9 / 2.9 / 1.85 |
| 11.07.2021 | Brazil Serie A | Sao Paulo - Bahia | 1:0 (0:0) | 1.71 / 2.8 / 3.45 |
| 08.11.2021 | Brazil Serie A | Bahia - Sao Paulo | 1:0 (0:0) | 2.44 / 2.55 / 2.2 |
| 30.07.2023 | Brazil Serie A | Sao Paulo - Bahia | 0:0 (0:0) | 1.43 / 3.12 / 4.58 |
| 30.11.2023 | Brazil Serie A | Bahia - Sao Paulo | 0:1 (0:0) | 1.93 / 2.71 / 2.87 |
| 30.06.2024 | Brazil Serie A | Sao Paulo - Bahia | 3:1 (2:0) | 1.68 / 2.94 / 3.47 |
| 06.11.2024 | Brazil Serie A | Bahia - Sao Paulo | 0:3 (0:1) | 1.96 / 2.66 / 2.93 |
| 01.06.2025 | Brazil Serie A | Bahia - Sao Paulo | 2:1 (0:0) | 1.67 / 2.85 / 4.29 |
| 26.10.2025 | Brazil Serie A | Sao Paulo - Bahia | 2:0 (2:0) | 1.73 / 2.98 / 3.59 |
| 03.05.2026 | Brazil Serie A | Sao Paulo - Bahia | 2:2 (1:0) | 1.77 / 2.96 / 3.31 |
Historical Twin-Odds Match Analysis (250 Identical Odds Matches)
Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.72 / 3.23 / 3.38), 48% ended in a Home Win, 26% ended in a Draw, 26% ended in an Away Win, 49% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 52% saw Both Teams Score (average 2.54 goals per match).
- Historical Home Win (1) Rate: 48% | Draw (X): 26% | Away Win (2): 26%
- Over 2.5 Goals Rate: 49% | BTTS Yes Rate: 52% | 1st Half Over 0.5 Rate: 65%
- Historical Average Goals: 2.54 goals/match
| Date | League | Match | Final Score (HT) | 1X2 Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Brazil Serie A | Bahia - Sao Paulo | 3:2 (2:2) | 1.72 / 3.23 / 3.38 |
| 19.10.2022 | Spain Kral Cup Ön Qualifier Turu | Velarde - Turegano | 1:0 (0:0) | 1.72 / 3.20 / 3.38 |
| 07.11.2022 | Guatemala National League Apertura | Xinabajul - Xelaju MC | 0:2 (0:1) | 1.72 / 2.77 / 3.38 |
| 22.01.2023 | Turkey TFF First League | Bodrum FK - Keçiörengücü | 1:2 (0:1) | 1.72 / 3.07 / 3.38 |
| 19.11.2023 | Colombia Primera A Clausura Quadrangular Group A | Aguilas Doradas - Deportes Tolima | 0:4 (0:2) | 1.72 / 2.77 / 3.38 |
| 07.04.2024 | Russia FNL | Chernomorets - Kuban Krasnodar | 3:0 (1:0) | 1.72 / 2.87 / 3.38 |
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
When is Bahia vs Sao Paulo kick-off time and league?
The Brazil Serie A match between Bahia and Sao Paulo kicks off on 29.10.2026 at 03:30.
What are the opening/current odds and fair probabilities for Bahia vs Sao Paulo?
Current 1X2 odds are Home Win 1.72 (opening 1.8, 49% fair probability), Draw 3.23 (opening 3.14, 26%), and Away Win 3.38 (opening 3.22, 25%).
How did historical matches with similar odds to Bahia vs Sao Paulo finish?
Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.72 / 3.23 / 3.38), 48% ended in a Home Win, 26% ended in a Draw, 26% ended in an Away Win, 49% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 52% saw Both Teams Score (average 2.54 goals per match).
What are the Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS statistics for Bahia vs Sao Paulo?
Goal market odds are Over 2.5: 1.58, Under 2.5: 1.8, BTTS Yes: 1.51. Bahia averages 1.20 goals scored (67% Over 2.5, 47% BTTS across 15 archive matches). Sao Paulo averages 2.27 goals scored (67% Over 2.5, 53% BTTS across 15 archive matches).
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