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Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction, Odds & H2H Analysis (31.10.2026)
Chelsea vs Manchester United (England Premier League) statistical match prediction, opening vs closing odds analysis (1: 1.78, X: 3.3, 2: 3.11), Twin Odds from 190,000+ historical matches, Over/Under 2.5 and BTTS probabilities.
Chelsea vs Manchester United Odds & Probability Distribution
- League / Kick-off: England Premier League — 31.10.2026 15:30
- Team Hubs: Chelsea · Manchester United
- 1X2 Match Odds: 1: 1.78 (47%) | X: 3.3 (26%) | 2: 3.11 (27%)
- Opening Odds: 1: 1.58 | X: 3.53 | 2: 3.67
- Over / Under 2.5 Odds: (-2.5): 2.06 | (+2.5): 1.43
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): (+): 1.38 | (-): 2.17
- Statistical Model Pick: Over 2.5 (61%)
Chelsea vs Manchester United Team Form & Goal Statistics
- Chelsea Recent Form (15 matches): 7W-4D-4L (47% Win), Over 2.5: 60%, BTTS: 60%, Avg Goals Scored: 1.80, Conceded: 1.00 (D [1:1], W [3:0], W [4:1], W [0:2], W [1:2])
- Manchester United Recent Form (15 matches): 9W-2D-4L (60% Win), Over 2.5: 67%, BTTS: 67%, Avg Goals Scored: 2.13, Conceded: 1.33 (L [0:1], L [2:1], W [1:3], W [1:0], W [4:1])
Chelsea vs Manchester United Head-to-Head (H2H) History (11 Matches)
In 11 historical head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 2, 5 ended in a draw, and Manchester United won 4. Over 2.5 Goals occurred in 36% of meetings and BTTS in 73% (avg 2.55 goals/match).
| Date | League | Match | Score (HT) | 1X2 Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.02.2021 | England Premier League | Chelsea - Manchester United | 0:0 (0:0) | 2.05 / 2.95 / 2.6 |
| 28.11.2021 | England Premier League | Chelsea - Manchester United | 1:1 (0:0) | 1.39 / 3.55 / 4.8 |
| 28.04.2022 | England Premier League | Manchester United - Chelsea | 1:1 (0:0) | 3.15 / 3.2 / 1.86 |
| 22.10.2022 | England Premier League | Chelsea - Manchester United | 1:1 (0:0) | 1.88 / 3.13 / 2.95 |
| 25.05.2023 | England Premier League | Manchester United - Chelsea | 4:1 (2:0) | 1.35 / 3.86 / 4.88 |
| 06.12.2023 | England Premier League | Manchester United - Chelsea | 2:1 (1:1) | 2.39 / 3.09 / 2.17 |
| 04.04.2024 | England Premier League | Chelsea - Manchester United | 4:3 (2:2) | 1.58 / 3.73 / 3.45 |
| 03.11.2024 | England Premier League | Manchester United - Chelsea | 1:1 (0:0) | 2.31 / 3.12 / 2.29 |
| 16.05.2025 | England Premier League | Chelsea - Manchester United | 1:0 (0:0) | 1.38 / 4 / 4.76 |
| 20.09.2025 | England Premier League | Manchester United - Chelsea | 2:1 (2:0) | 2.31 / 3.25 / 2.21 |
Historical Twin-Odds Match Analysis (250 Identical Odds Matches)
Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.78 / 3.3 / 3.11), 46% ended in a Home Win, 32% ended in a Draw, 22% ended in an Away Win, 46% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 54% saw Both Teams Score (average 2.50 goals per match).
- Historical Home Win (1) Rate: 46% | Draw (X): 32% | Away Win (2): 22%
- Over 2.5 Goals Rate: 46% | BTTS Yes Rate: 54% | 1st Half Over 0.5 Rate: 62%
- Historical Average Goals: 2.50 goals/match
| Date | League | Match | Final Score (HT) | 1X2 Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.10.2022 | Spain Primera División RFEF Group 1 | Alcorcon - Real Madrid II | 4:1 (3:0) | 1.78 / 2.93 / 3.11 |
| 09.10.2022 | Turkey Second League Beyaz Group | Somaspor - İnegölspor | 3:1 (1:1) | 1.78 / 2.92 / 3.11 |
| 03.11.2022 | UEFA Europa League Group G | Karabağ - Freiburg | 1:1 (0:1) | 1.78 / 3.15 / 3.11 |
| 23.03.2023 | Brazil Mineiro 1 Küme Düşme Turu | Caldense - CAP Patrocinense | 1:1 (0:0) | 1.78 / 2.82 / 3.11 |
| 30.04.2023 | Spain Second League RFEF Group 4 | Mar Menor CF - Atletico Mancha Real | 1:0 (0:0) | 1.78 / 2.84 / 3.11 |
| 21.05.2023 | Spain Second League RFEF Promotion Play Off 1.Tur | UCAM Murcia - Pena Deportiva | 0:1 (0:0) | 1.78 / 2.83 / 3.11 |
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
When is Chelsea vs Manchester United kick-off time and league?
The England Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester United kicks off on 31.10.2026 at 15:30.
What are the opening/current odds and fair probabilities for Chelsea vs Manchester United?
Current 1X2 odds are Home Win 1.78 (opening 1.58, 47% fair probability), Draw 3.3 (opening 3.53, 26%), and Away Win 3.11 (opening 3.67, 27%).
How did historical matches with similar odds to Chelsea vs Manchester United finish?
Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.78 / 3.3 / 3.11), 46% ended in a Home Win, 32% ended in a Draw, 22% ended in an Away Win, 46% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 54% saw Both Teams Score (average 2.50 goals per match).
What are the Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS statistics for Chelsea vs Manchester United?
Goal market odds are Over 2.5: 1.43, Under 2.5: 2.06, BTTS Yes: 1.38. Chelsea averages 1.80 goals scored (60% Over 2.5, 60% BTTS across 15 archive matches). Manchester United averages 2.13 goals scored (67% Over 2.5, 67% BTTS across 15 archive matches).
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