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Milan 2:4 Bologna Match Result, Prediction Accuracy & Closing Odds (28.10.2026)

Milan vs Bologna finished 2:4 (Italy Serie A, 28.10.2026). Full post-match closing odds verification (1: 1.48, X: 3.28, 2: 4.82), pre-match AI prediction accuracy, and historical twin-odds archive.

Post-Match Result & Closing Odds Verification (Milan 2:4 Bologna)

The Milan vs Bologna fixture ended with a final score of 2:4 (Half-Time: 2:1).

  • Winning 1X2 Outcome: Away Win (2) — Closing Odd: 4.82
  • Over / Under 2.5 Result: Over 2.5 Goals Won (6 goals, odd: 1.86)
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Result: BTTS Yes Won (odd: 1.83)
  • Pre-Match Model Pick: Home Win (1) (59% model confidence)

Milan vs Bologna Odds & Probability Distribution

  • League / Kick-off: Italy Serie A — 28.10.2026 20:30
  • Team Hubs: Milan · Bologna
  • 1X2 Match Odds: 1: 1.48 (57%) | X: 3.28 (26%) | 2: 4.82 (17%)
  • Opening Odds: 1: 1.42 | X: 3.55 | 2: 4.91
  • Over / Under 2.5 Odds: (-2.5): 1.54 | (+2.5): 1.86
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): (+): 1.83 | (-): 1.55
  • Final Score: 2:4 (2:1)
  • Statistical Model Pick: Home Win (1) (59%)

Milan vs Bologna Team Form & Goal Statistics

  • Milan Recent Form (15 matches): 9W-4D-2L (60% Win), Over 2.5: 73%, BTTS: 73%, Avg Goals Scored: 1.93, Conceded: 1.40 (W [1:2], L [0:3], D [2:2], W [1:3], D [1:1])
  • Bologna Recent Form (15 matches): 4W-5D-6L (27% Win), Over 2.5: 53%, BTTS: 53%, Avg Goals Scored: 1.13, Conceded: 1.53 (L [0:1], W [1:2], W [1:0], L [3:1], L [1:5])

Milan vs Bologna Head-to-Head (H2H) History (11 Matches)

In 11 historical head-to-head meetings, Milan won 6, 3 ended in a draw, and Bologna won 2. Over 2.5 Goals occurred in 45% of meetings and BTTS in 45% (avg 2.27 goals/match).

DateLeagueMatchScore (HT)1X2 Odds
30.01.2021Italy Serie ABologna - Milan1:2 (0:1)3 / 3.3 / 1.7
04.04.2022Italy Serie AMilan - Bologna0:0 (0:0)1.18 / 4.9 / 8.5
27.08.2022Italy Serie AMilan - Bologna2:0 (1:0)1.18 / 4.75 / 7.54
15.04.2023Italy Serie ABologna - Milan1:1 (1:1)2.48 / 2.61 / 2.41
21.08.2023Italy Serie ABologna - Milan0:2 (0:2)3.22 / 3.01 / 1.79
27.01.2024Italy Serie AMilan - Bologna2:2 (1:1)1.51 / 3.11 / 4.36
27.02.2025Italy Serie ABologna - Milan2:1 (0:1)2.53 / 2.83 / 2.28
09.05.2025Italy Serie AMilan - Bologna3:1 (0:0)2 / 2.97 / 2.91
14.05.2025Italy Cup FinalBologna - Milan1:0 (0:0)2.83 / 2.72 / 2.16
14.09.2025Italy Serie AMilan - Bologna1:0 (0:0)1.54 / 3.18 / 4.32

Historical Twin-Odds Match Analysis (250 Identical Odds Matches)

Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.48 / 3.28 / 4.82), 57% ended in a Home Win, 28% ended in a Draw, 15% ended in an Away Win, 40% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 43% saw Both Teams Score (average 2.15 goals per match).

  • Historical Home Win (1) Rate: 57% | Draw (X): 28% | Away Win (2): 15%
  • Over 2.5 Goals Rate: 40% | BTTS Yes Rate: 43% | 1st Half Over 0.5 Rate: 64%
  • Historical Average Goals: 2.15 goals/match
DateLeagueMatchFinal Score (HT)1X2 Odds
28.10.2026Italy Serie AMilan - Bologna2:4 (2:1)1.48 / 3.28 / 4.82
11.08.2022Uruguay Premier League ClausuraDeportivo Maldonado - Cerrito2:1 (1:1)1.48 / 2.92 / 4.82
26.11.2022Spain Second LeagueDeportivo Alaves - Villarreal II2:0 (1:0)1.48 / 3.12 / 4.82
31.03.2024Spain Second League RFEF Group 4Estepona - El Palo1:1 (1:1)1.48 / 2.91 / 4.82
02.11.2025Italy Serie AFiorentina - Lecce0:1 (0:1)1.48 / 3.20 / 4.82
08.11.2025Japan J1 LeagueKashima Antlers - Yokohama FC2:1 (0:0)1.48 / 3.32 / 4.82

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

When is Milan vs Bologna kick-off time and league?

The Italy Serie A match between Milan and Bologna kicks off on 28.10.2026 at 20:30.

What are the opening/current odds and fair probabilities for Milan vs Bologna?

Current 1X2 odds are Home Win 1.48 (opening 1.42, 57% fair probability), Draw 3.28 (opening 3.55, 26%), and Away Win 4.82 (opening 4.91, 17%).

How did historical matches with similar odds to Milan vs Bologna finish?

Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.48 / 3.28 / 4.82), 57% ended in a Home Win, 28% ended in a Draw, 15% ended in an Away Win, 40% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 43% saw Both Teams Score (average 2.15 goals per match).

What are the Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS statistics for Milan vs Bologna?

Goal market odds are Over 2.5: 1.86, Under 2.5: 1.54, BTTS Yes: 1.83. Milan averages 1.93 goals scored (73% Over 2.5, 73% BTTS across 15 archive matches). Bologna averages 1.13 goals scored (53% Over 2.5, 53% BTTS across 15 archive matches).

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