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Sarpsborg 08 3:2 Valerenga Match Result, Prediction Accuracy & Closing Odds (28.10.2026)

Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga finished 3:2 (Norway NM Cup 3.Tur, 28.10.2026). Full post-match closing odds verification (1: 1.63, X: 3.5, 2: 3), pre-match AI prediction accuracy, and historical twin-odds archive.

Post-Match Result & Closing Odds Verification (Sarpsborg 08 3:2 Valerenga)

The Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga fixture ended with a final score of 3:2 (Half-Time: 1:0).

  • Winning 1X2 Outcome: Home Win (1) — Closing Odd: 1.63
  • Over / Under 2.5 Result: Over 2.5 Goals Won (5 goals, odd: -)
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Result: BTTS Yes Won (odd: 1.21)
  • Pre-Match Model Pick: BTTS Yes (65% model confidence)

Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga Odds & Probability Distribution

  • League / Kick-off: Norway NM Cup 3.Tur — 28.10.2026 20:00
  • Team Hubs: Sarpsborg 08 · Valerenga
  • 1X2 Match Odds: 1: 1.63 (50%) | X: 3.5 (23%) | 2: 3 (27%)
  • Opening Odds: 1: 1.8 | X: 3.31 | 2: 2.65
  • Over / Under 2.5 Odds: (-2.5): - | (+2.5): -
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): (+): 1.21 | (-): 2.48
  • Final Score: 3:2 (1:0)
  • Statistical Model Pick: BTTS Yes (65%)

Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga Team Form & Goal Statistics

  • Sarpsborg 08 Recent Form (15 matches): 2W-7D-6L (13% Win), Over 2.5: 33%, BTTS: 53%, Avg Goals Scored: 0.80, Conceded: 1.40 (L [3:2], L [1:2], D [1:1], D [1:1], D [1:1])
  • Valerenga Recent Form (15 matches): 7W-6D-2L (47% Win), Over 2.5: 47%, BTTS: 67%, Avg Goals Scored: 1.80, Conceded: 1.07 (W [0:2], W [2:0], D [1:1], D [1:1], D [1:1])

Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga Head-to-Head (H2H) History (11 Matches)

In 11 historical head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 won 3, 4 ended in a draw, and Valerenga won 4. Over 2.5 Goals occurred in 64% of meetings and BTTS in 73% (avg 3.55 goals/match).

DateLeagueMatchScore (HT)1X2 Odds
29.11.2020Norway EliteserienValerenga - Sarpsborg 081:1 (0:1)1.4 / 3.4 / 4.25
01.07.2021Norway EliteserienValerenga - Sarpsborg 084:1 (1:0)1.31 / 3.65 / 5.2
28.10.2021Norway EliteserienSarpsborg 08 - Valerenga2:1 (0:0)1.91 / 2.8 / 2.65
17.07.2022Norway EliteserienSarpsborg 08 - Valerenga0:1 (0:1)1.71 / 3.5 / 3.1
29.10.2022Norway EliteserienValerenga - Sarpsborg 083:3 (2:2)1.85 / 3.32 / 2.77
16.04.2023Norway EliteserienValerenga - Sarpsborg 080:2 (0:0)1.79 / 3.21 / 3.01
05.11.2023Norway EliteserienSarpsborg 08 - Valerenga3:2 (3:1)1.68 / 3.49 / 3.12
06.09.2026Norway EliteserienSarpsborg 08 - Valerenga2:2 (1:0)1.7 / 3.68 / 3.18
06.04.2025Norway EliteserienSarpsborg 08 - Valerenga1:1 (0:1)2.03 / 3.22 / 2.63
17.08.2025Norway EliteserienValerenga - Sarpsborg 084:0 (2:0)1.57 / 3.77 / 3.38

Historical Twin-Odds Match Analysis (250 Identical Odds Matches)

Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.63 / 3.5 / 3), 56% ended in a Home Win, 21% ended in a Draw, 23% ended in an Away Win, 60% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 60% saw Both Teams Score (average 3.26 goals per match).

  • Historical Home Win (1) Rate: 56% | Draw (X): 21% | Away Win (2): 23%
  • Over 2.5 Goals Rate: 60% | BTTS Yes Rate: 60% | 1st Half Over 0.5 Rate: 74%
  • Historical Average Goals: 3.26 goals/match
DateLeagueMatchFinal Score (HT)1X2 Odds
28.10.2026Norway NM Cup 3.TurSarpsborg 08 - Valerenga3:2 (1:0)1.63 / 3.50 / 3.00
05.06.2021Denmark Second League Group 1Middelfart - Frem2:1 (1:1)1.63 / 3.25 / 3.00
15.06.2021Friendly Ülkelerİsveç (K) - Avustralya (K)0:0 (0:0)1.63 / 3.20 / 3.00
17.08.2021Austria Regionalliga TirolWattens II - Telfs1:2 (0:2)1.63 / 3.60 / 3.00
18.08.2021Germany Regional League NortheastVfB Auerbach - Eilenburg2:1 (0:0)1.63 / 3.60 / 3.00
29.08.2021Czech Republic 3.League CFL ASokol Hostoun - Povltava FA1:0 (0:0)1.63 / 3.55 / 3.00

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

When is Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga kick-off time and league?

The Norway NM Cup 3.Tur match between Sarpsborg 08 and Valerenga kicks off on 28.10.2026 at 20:00.

What are the opening/current odds and fair probabilities for Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga?

Current 1X2 odds are Home Win 1.63 (opening 1.8, 50% fair probability), Draw 3.5 (opening 3.31, 23%), and Away Win 3 (opening 2.65, 27%).

How did historical matches with similar odds to Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga finish?

Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.63 / 3.5 / 3), 56% ended in a Home Win, 21% ended in a Draw, 23% ended in an Away Win, 60% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 60% saw Both Teams Score (average 3.26 goals per match).

What are the Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS statistics for Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga?

Goal market odds are Over 2.5: -, Under 2.5: -, BTTS Yes: 1.21. Sarpsborg 08 averages 0.80 goals scored (33% Over 2.5, 53% BTTS across 15 archive matches). Valerenga averages 1.80 goals scored (47% Over 2.5, 67% BTTS across 15 archive matches).

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