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Philadelphia Union 4:1 Toronto FC Match Result, Prediction Accuracy & Closing Odds (08.11.2026)

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC finished 4:1 (USA MLS, 08.11.2026). Full post-match closing odds verification (1: 1.29, X: 4.51, 2: 5.18), pre-match AI prediction accuracy, and historical twin-odds archive.

Did the Model Predict Correctly? Post-Match Verdict & Closing Odds (Philadelphia Union 4:1 Toronto FC)

[MODEL PICK WON ✓] The Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC fixture ended with a final score of 4:1 . Pre-match model projection was Over 2.5 (69% confidence).

  • Model Verdict: MODEL PICK WON ✓ — Pre-Match Pick: Over 2.5 (69% confidence)
  • Winning 1X2 Outcome: Home Win (1) — Closing Odd: 1.29
  • Over / Under 2.5 Result: Over 2.5 Goals Won (5 goals, odd: 1.22)
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Result: BTTS Yes Won (odd: 1.35)

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Odds & Probability Distribution

  • League / Kick-off: USA MLS — 08.11.2026 00:00
  • Team Hubs: Philadelphia Union · Toronto FC
  • 1X2 Match Odds: 1: 1.29 (65%) | X: 4.51 (19%) | 2: 5.18 (16%)
  • Opening Odds: 1: 1.29 | X: 4.51 | 2: 5.18
  • Over / Under 2.5 Odds: (-2.5): 2.72 | (+2.5): 1.22
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): (+): 1.35 | (-): 2.23
  • Final Score: 4:1
  • Statistical Model Pick: Over 2.5 (69%)

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head (H2H) History (13 Matches)

In 13 historical head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 5, 4 ended in a draw, and Toronto FC won 4. Over 2.5 Goals occurred in 85% of meetings and BTTS in 69% (avg 3.54 goals/match).

DateLeagueMatchScore (HT)1X2 Odds
04.10.2020USA MLSToronto FC - Philadelphia Union2:1 (0:1)1.55 / 3.4 / 3.4
25.10.2020USA MLSPhiladelphia Union - Toronto FC5:0 (2:0)2 / 3 / 2.55
05.08.2021USA MLSPhiladelphia Union - Toronto FC3:0 (3:0)1.43 / 3.5 / 4.2
28.10.2021USA MLSToronto FC - Philadelphia Union2:2 (0:1)2.3 / 2.85 / 2.13
17.04.2022USA MLSToronto FC - Philadelphia Union2:1 (1:1)2.8 / 2.9 / 1.99
09.10.2022USA MLSPhiladelphia Union - Toronto FC4:0 (2:0)1.16 / 4.8 / 6.52
23.04.2023USA MLSPhiladelphia Union - Toronto FC4:2 (3:0)1.39 / 3.47 / 4.33
31.08.2023USA MLSToronto FC - Philadelphia Union3:1 (1:1)3.04 / 3.35 / 1.64
30.05.2024USA MLSPhiladelphia Union - Toronto FC0:0 (0:0)1.44 / 3.36 / 4.23
14.07.2024USA MLSToronto FC - Philadelphia Union2:1 (0:1)1.82 / 3.25 / 2.72

Historical Twin-Odds Match Analysis (250 Identical Odds Matches)

Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.29 / 4.51 / 5.18), 74% ended in a Home Win, 13% ended in a Draw, 13% ended in an Away Win, 72% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 59% saw Both Teams Score (average 3.73 goals per match).

  • Historical Home Win (1) Rate: 74% | Draw (X): 13% | Away Win (2): 13%
  • Over 2.5 Goals Rate: 72% | BTTS Yes Rate: 59% | 1st Half Over 0.5 Rate: 80%
  • Historical Average Goals: 3.73 goals/match
DateLeagueMatchFinal Score (HT)1X2 Odds
26.07.2026Sweden AllsvenskanIK Sirius - Göteborg4:1 (2:1)1.27 / 4.43 / 5.18
20.01.2024Australia A-LigaWestern Sydney Wanderers - Perth Glory1:2 (0:1)1.28 / 4.40 / 5.16
08.09.2026Skotlandia Challenge Piala Liga StageElgin City - Fraserburgh7:0 (4:0)1.27 / 4.35 / 5.17
09.11.2025Australia Championship Group CPreston Lions - Canberra FC0:0 (0:0)1.26 / 4.47 / 5.18
25.04.2026Belanda EredivisieHeerenveen - Fortuna Sittard2:1 (1:1)1.26 / 4.59 / 5.18
10.04.2026Jerman 3. LigaHoffenheim II - Schweinfurt1:1 (0:1)1.27 / 4.46 / 5.16

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

When is Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC kick-off time and league?

The USA MLS match between Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC kicks off on 08.11.2026 at 00:00.

What are the opening/current odds and fair probabilities for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

Current 1X2 odds are Home Win 1.29 (opening 1.29, 65% fair probability), Draw 4.51 (opening 4.51, 19%), and Away Win 5.18 (opening 5.18, 16%).

How did historical matches with similar odds to Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC finish?

Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.29 / 4.51 / 5.18), 74% ended in a Home Win, 13% ended in a Draw, 13% ended in an Away Win, 72% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 59% saw Both Teams Score (average 3.73 goals per match).

What are the Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS statistics for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

Goal market odds are Over 2.5: 1.22, Under 2.5: 2.72, BTTS Yes: 1.35.

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