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Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction, Odds & H2H Analysis (08.11.2026)

Toluca vs Monterrey (Mexico Liga MX Apertura) statistical match prediction, opening vs closing odds analysis (1: 1.38, X: 3.78, 2: 4.09), Twin Odds from 390,000+ historical matches, Over/Under 2.5 and BTTS probabilities.

Toluca vs Monterrey Odds & Probability Distribution

  • League / Kick-off: Mexico Liga MX Apertura — 08.11.2026 04:00
  • Team Hubs: Toluca · Monterrey
  • 1X2 Match Odds: 1: 1.38 (59%) | X: 3.78 (21%) | 2: 4.09 (20%)
  • Opening Odds: 1: 1.38 | X: 3.78 | 2: 4.09
  • Over / Under 2.5 Odds: (-2.5): 2.34 | (+2.5): 1.24
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): (+): 1.31 | (-): 2.13
  • Statistical Model Pick: Over 2.5 (65%)

Toluca vs Monterrey Head-to-Head (H2H) History (15 Matches)

In 15 historical head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6, 4 ended in a draw, and Monterrey won 5. Over 2.5 Goals occurred in 53% of meetings and BTTS in 67% (avg 2.93 goals/match).

DateLeagueMatchScore (HT)1X2 Odds
29.02.2020Mexico Liga MX ClausuraToluca - Monterrey2:0 (0:0)2.45 / 3 / 2.05
29.07.2020Mexico Liga MX AperturaMonterrey - Toluca3:1 (2:0)1.3 / 3.75 / 5.25
11.04.2021Mexico Liga MX ClausuraToluca - Monterrey1:2 (0:0)3.3 / 3 / 1.67
23.09.2021Mexico Liga MX AperturaMonterrey - Toluca2:0 (1:0)1.35 / 3.7 / 4.7
07.04.2022Mexico Liga MX ClausuraToluca - Monterrey2:2 (1:2)3.35 / 3.05 / 1.74
18.08.2022Mexico Liga MX AperturaToluca - Monterrey1:1 (1:0)1.2 / 4.42 / 5.91
06.02.2023Mexico Liga MX ClausuraMonterrey - Toluca2:1 (2:0)1.3 / 3.84 / 4.84
31.08.2023Mexico Liga MX AperturaToluca - Monterrey1:0 (1:0)2.03 / 3.16 / 2.34
19.02.2024Mexico Liga MX ClausuraMonterrey - Toluca0:0 (0:0)1.46 / 3.43 / 3.85
01.09.2024Mexico Liga MX AperturaMonterrey - Toluca1:2 (0:1)1.67 / 3.15 / 3.23

Historical Twin-Odds Match Analysis (250 Identical Odds Matches)

Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.38 / 3.78 / 4.09), 60% ended in a Home Win, 20% ended in a Draw, 20% ended in an Away Win, 64% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 58% saw Both Teams Score (average 3.28 goals per match).

  • Historical Home Win (1) Rate: 60% | Draw (X): 20% | Away Win (2): 20%
  • Over 2.5 Goals Rate: 64% | BTTS Yes Rate: 58% | 1st Half Over 0.5 Rate: 75%
  • Historical Average Goals: 3.28 goals/match
DateLeagueMatchFinal Score (HT)1X2 Odds
19.04.2023Jerman Regional Liga NortheastAltglienicke - Berliner AK 070:1 (0:1)1.38 / 3.68 / 4.09
14.07.2026Australia FFA Piala Son 32 TuruAPIA Leichhardt Tigers - Peninsula Power2:1 (1:0)1.38 / 3.70 / 4.09
26.08.2023Iceland Second LigaThrottur Vogar - Höttur / Huginn0:2 (0:1)1.38 / 3.72 / 4.09
29.10.2026Belanda KNVB Piala 1.TurGVVV - Noordwijk3:0 (2:0)1.38 / 3.77 / 4.09
09.07.2023Australia NPL Yeni South WalesBlacktown City Demons - Sydney II3:0 (1:0)1.37 / 3.85 / 4.09
06.09.2025Australia NPL South Australia Semi-finalNE MetroStars - Adelaide United II2:1 (0:1)1.37 / 3.87 / 4.09

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

When is Toluca vs Monterrey kick-off time and league?

The Mexico Liga MX Apertura match between Toluca and Monterrey kicks off on 08.11.2026 at 04:00.

What are the opening/current odds and fair probabilities for Toluca vs Monterrey?

Current 1X2 odds are Home Win 1.38 (opening 1.38, 59% fair probability), Draw 3.78 (opening 3.78, 21%), and Away Win 4.09 (opening 4.09, 20%).

How did historical matches with similar odds to Toluca vs Monterrey finish?

Across 250 historical twin matches with similar 1X2 odds (1.38 / 3.78 / 4.09), 60% ended in a Home Win, 20% ended in a Draw, 20% ended in an Away Win, 64% had Over 2.5 Goals, and 58% saw Both Teams Score (average 3.28 goals per match).

What are the Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS statistics for Toluca vs Monterrey?

Goal market odds are Over 2.5: 1.24, Under 2.5: 2.34, BTTS Yes: 1.31.

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